by Geoffrey Sea
Of late it's been said often that
USEC Inc. has nine lives. The US Department of Energy
repeatedly saves the allegedly-private company with some late-breaking, exorbitant,
extortion-satisfying bailout announcement, no matter how disastrous are
USEC's management decisions, no matter how severe its corporate
calamities, how impending the doom, or how terrible the prospects for
government and investor benefit. I have raised the question of whether USEC is "too rigged to fail." USEC says the letters of its
name don't stand for anything anymore, but they do. The letters
stand for: Undermine the Security and Economy of the Country,
Incorporated.
But the purveyors of perpetual vitality
for this enterprise have it wrong, because the last-minute salvation scam is
inherently non-sustainable. USEC may be staggering on, with
artificial life support from quasi-legal or explicitly illegal
diversions of federal funds and material, but it's a walking dead
man, The Paducah monstrosity cannot breathe beyond some undetermined
number of months, at most. The nonsense “American Centrifuge” is
as ready to crumble as a Caribbean sand castle in hurricane season.
Nearly a quarter of USEC common shareholders are short-sellers
betting on near-term misfortune. And the company's creditors are
crying uncle more than they are counting on Uncle Sam. On Friday,
June 1, USEC tried to put a happy face on a credit-facility extension
of only fifteen days. Beyond that, the company's kneecaps are in
extraordinary jeopardy.
I suggest there has been some
collective typographical error. USEC is not the company of nine
lives, but the company of nine lies.
These lies are now employed to
deceive Congress into supporting a bailout for the company expressly
against national interests. So let's unpack:
Lie 1: USEC's
problems can be blamed on lack of sufficient government support and
unfulfilled political promises to the company, or on a need for
emergency federal intervention in the company's projects.
Truth: In
fact, the U.S. government has supported USEC with unaccounted
BILLIONS of dollars since the company's privatization in 1998
through multiple gifts of uranium, enormous subsidies including free
use of government-owned facilities and technology, liability waivers,
and no-bid contracts designed to “compensate” USEC with cash in
lieu of loan guarantees for which USEC never came close to
qualifying. No politician or public official ever promised USEC a
federal loan guarantee, and if they did, that act would have been
expressly illegal and unethical. Any proposal to renationalize USEC
or to take over or fully subsidize USEC in whole or in part would run
directly counter to the USEC Privatization Act, which would
need to be amended or repealed by Congress to make such federal
involvement in USEC legal. The Privatization Act, in letter and
intent, created USEC as a freestanding company, the commercial
ventures of which should live or die on the basis of independent
business decisions, without political interference. Offering
bailout in bad times, with no commensurate payback to the government
foreseen or foreseeable would be a supreme violation of the public
trust.
Lie 2: USEC
leases its facilities from the government and pays for the government
services it receives.
Truth: USEC's
single “lease” which covers its use of land and facilities at
both the Piketon, Ohio, and Paducah, Kentucky, sites, is a misnomer.
It is not a lease in any ordinary sense as USEC is not required to
make payments to the government to retain control of the sites, the
arrangement has no term or expiration, and there is no provision in
the document for termination by the government under any
circumstance. In short, the so-called lease represents a government
giveaway to a private company, its “negotiation” was bad public
policy, and the constitutionality of the arrangement is highly
suspect.
Lie 3: The
“American Centrifuge Plant” employes “advanced” or
state-of-the-art technology that has tremendous efficiency
advantages, and may yet be proven viable.
Truth: The
ACP-100 machines employed by USEC in “the American Centrifuge
Plant” project were developed by the U.S. Department of Energy in
the 1970s, and were shelved between 1985 and 2002. There is no
evidence in the public domain that the technology has been
significantly improved since the 1970s. Indeed, two analyses of the
technology's viability by DOE in connection with review of USEC's
loan guarantee application resulted in the denial of that application
twice, in part on grounds of technical inadequacy. USEC's intentional
failure to complete a demonstration of the technology, even though
USEC was contractually committed to do so in 2005, strongly suggests
that the technology is not technologically viable. During the decades
that this centrifuge technology has languished without significant
development, competing technologies deployed by other domestic and
foreign companies have leaped ahead with new generations of
centrifuges and laser-based isotope separation methods. The latter
represents tremendous efficiency advantages over any hypothetical
USEC centrifuge plant.
Lie 4: The
“American Centrifuge Plant” is “American” or “indigenous”
in some way that competing domestic enrichment projects are not.
Truth: By
definition in U.S. law and regulatory practice, all production plants
located on U.S. soil are “domestic,” which makes the URENCO plant
in New Mexico, the AREVA project in Idaho, and the GE-Hitachi project
in North Carolina all “domestic.” USEC's project employs some
technology of U.S. origin, but it also employs technologies of
foreign origin, a fact that has been attested by the National Nuclear
Security Administration. Some of USEC's competitors are owned by
foreign companies, but USEC has also sold partial ownership shares to
foreign-owned companies, notably Toshiba, a USEC strategic investor.
Indeed, USEC imports more than half of its product from Russia and
has strategically partnered with Tenex of Russia to continue that
relationship, making USEC far less “indigenous” than its
domestic rivals. USEC has even agreed to support construction of a
Tenex enrichment plant on U.S. soil, obviously intended to transition
“the American Centrifuge Plant” into a “Russo-Japanese
Centrifuge Plant” or something of the sort. No cogent argument
has been made for why this venture merits special support by the U.S.
government.
Lie 5: The
“American Centrifuge Plant” serves some U.S. national security
purpose related to production of uranium or nuclear nonproliferation.
Truth: The proferred “national security” rationales for ACP are all
demonstrably fallacious. The U.S. will not need a new supply of
Highly-Enriched Uranium for between fifty and a hundred years,
precisely because USEC was already paid to produce an enormous
stockpile of that material in the 1990s at Piketon. TVA does not need
a dedicated source of Low-Enriched Uranium for its tritium production
reactors, precisely because TVA has now contracted to obtain a
stockpile of that material from reenrichment at USEC's Paducah plant.
If other supplies for TVA are needed, that can be most cheaply done
by down-blending the government's HEU stockpile. The U.S.
government has disclosed no role for USEC in assisting nonproliferation efforts, and covert projects to achieve “nonproliferation” by
attacking the centrifuge programs of foreign countries are properly
funded and conducted by the military, if needed. Confusing covert
military programs with allegedly civilian commercial projects
actually undermines national security, especially by making any
involved site a legitimate military target for foreign countries.
Lie 6: The
“Research, Development and Demonstration” project will prove the
viability of ACP technology and serve as a step to completion of a
commercial-scale “American Centrifuge Plant.”
Truth: In
October of 2011, Secretary Chu proposed a two-year RD&D project,
to serve as a bridge to a commercial-scale ACP. The timing was
critical because USEC's sweetheart agreement to sell Russian weapons
uranium expires at the end of 2013, and USEC has a $530 million debt
to bondholders due in 2014, with no business plan for repaying that
debt. Even if it were possible to complete a two-year RD&D
program, it would not be possible to finance and build a commercial
plant before USEC's big projected profit losses and debt payment
deadlines. But Chu's schedule was dependent on near-immediate funding
by Congress, and that funding did not materialize. No actual RD&D
program has yet started, and if Congress appropriates funding for
2013, that funding will not be available until October 2012, at the
earliest, meaning that the first year of the proposed program will
have passed without progress. Since the plan was for USEC to pay 80%
of RD&D costs in the second year, if 2013 is considered the
second year, then a large federal contribution won't be needed –
it's USEC's turn to pay. All of this is nonsense, of course. It's
become obvious that neither DOE nor USEC intend to use
appropriated funds for any real RD&D program. Rather, they
cobbled together a proposed RD&D program as a rationale to obtain
congressional appropriations that could then be utilized as a general
corporate bailout fund for USEC – paying the company's general
debts and expenses. If a real RD&D were warranted, USEC would
have attracted private investment to complete it long ago.
Lie 7: The
“Research, Development and Demonstration Project” for which
congressional funding is sought is the same as, or is a part of “the
American Centrifuge Plant."
Truth:
Legislative language drafted in large part by the Department of
Energy refers to a “Research, Development and Demonstration
Project” on “uranium enrichment technology” for “national
security” purposes, without explicit mention of USEC, ACP, or any
geographic site. USEC, and its agents in Congress have characterized
this as “the American Centrifuge RD&D project,” implying that
appropriated funds will necessarily go to USEC's project in Ohio, but
that is far from clear. USEC may want to lay claim to any
appropriated funds, but DOE may be anticipating USEC's collapse and
may intend the RD&D program to retain certain overt or covert
aspects of the former ACP project under a new guise and operated by
other companies. RD&D has clearly changed substantially since Chu
proposed it in October of 2011, but DOE has intentionally obscured what
those changes are, or how or where it intends to implement the
program. Congress would essentially be appropriating funds for a
black-box program for which at least three different
characterizations have been made. Would the money go to build 120
centrifuge machines at Piketon, as Ohio politicians claim? Or would
it go to pay the debts and expenses of USEC Inc. of Bethesda, MD., as
the company's investors and creditors expect? Or would it go to pay
for an ACP replacement project in Oak Ridge, Tennessee, run by
Babcock & Wilcox, as the DOE rumors and internal agency motives
would have it? Members of Congress asked to vote on the
appropriation would presumably like to know.
U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown, running for 2012 reelection
on the ACP Spin-Counterspin platform
on the ACP Spin-Counterspin platform
Lie 8: The
“American Centrifuge Plant” will generate 4,000 jobs in Ohio and
another 4,000 jobs in other states.
Truth: USEC
has never provided a shred of evidence that its job numbers for a
commercial-scale ACP weren't just cooked up by a PR hack at the company's Bethesda headquarters. Indeed, an internal memo from the Department of
Energy in 2009 showed that USEC's jobs numbers evolved in a seemingly
arbitrary way, the projection increasing over time as requests for government
assistance intensified. When USEC was seeking private investment on
the argument of efficiency of operations, its jobs estimates were
significantly smaller. Moreover, Ohio politicians have magnified the chicanery by suggesting that the proposed miniscule RD&D project
will generate all of the 4,000 Ohio jobs, promised but never
documented to come from a full-scale commercial ACP plant. In
reality, USEC's continued non-productive occupation of the Piketon
site prevents cleanup and alternative development of that site,
having a profound negative impact on employment in the area
surrounding Pike County, which continues to have the highest
unemployment rate of Ohio's 88 counties.
Lie 9: The
“American Centrifuge Plant” is good for Ohioans, so politicians and political parties who want
to win in Ohio should support it.
Truth: The
“American Centrifuge Plant” has been a disaster for Ohioans and
represents an ongoing catastrophe for the community. The corruption
scandal that is ACP will attach itself to any politician who touches it. Formal termination of ACP would have happened long ago,
if the bizarre USEC “lease” had contained a termination clause,
and if USEC had to pay to maintain its titular presence and actual
control of the site. But under the numerous sweetheart arrangements
that were accorded if not authored by Ohio politicians, USEC can sit
there, doing nothing, employing virtually no one, forever, or until
Americans elect a government with some gumption, whichever comes first. Even more outrageously, USEC's cleanup and decommissioning
obligation does not kick in until ACP is formally terminated, meaning
that USEC has a tremendous financial incentive to “demobilize”
but never “terminate” the project. Thus USEC can potentially
delay cleanup and decommissioning until after the company is beyond
reach in liquidation, at which point its over-compensated officers
will have moved on to those great beyonds where U.S. tax laws and extradition
treaties can't reach them. Call it the centrifuge runaround,
the only technical demonstration of USEC's spin capabilities that
U.S. taxpayers will ever see. Memo to Romney running-mate vetting-process personnel: The assumption that Appalachian Ohioans are too stupid to know a scam or a lying politician when they see one is both highly offensive and historically proven wrong.

No comments:
Post a Comment